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Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Propaganda: it makes you suffer

In my study of communist societies, I came to the conclusion that the purpose of communist propaganda was not to persuade or convince, nor to inform, but to humiliate; and therefore, the less it corresponded to reality the better.

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

CHARLIE HEBDO Y EL FAMOSO COHETE DE OSCAR WILDE

Hay en el episodio de Charlie Hebdo dos peligrosas pretensiones que tienen que ver con la corrección política que tiene vuelta un (ridículo) ocho la psiquis de la cultura occidental: que TODO el mundo se va a comportar con los mismos parámetros que ordena la corrección política nada más porque sí (cómo no), y peor aún, que si las consecuencias son malas, estas no deben ni pueden existir si se produce un acto (algo así como taparse los oídos y decir LALALALALALA). 

La persecución de franceses y cristianos en Nigeria y el desplome de Yemen entre otros episodios son imposibles de no relacionar con el affaire Charlie Hebdo. El tiempo dirá si fue un catalizador o tan sólo otro episodio más de lo que ya está sucediendo.

Muchos sentirán que la publicación Charlie Hebdo representa ahora a la civilización occidental y sus libertades. Yo digo que no. Si algo representa actualmente a Occidente es el famoso cohete del socarrón de Oscar Wilde. 

Como el cohete, por cuenta de la corrección política, nuestra cultura occidental actual es tan majadera e insensata que es incapaz de funcionar para lo que fue creada: como el cohete desprecia el sentido común y prefiere llorar que mantenerse seco. Prefiere decir "pilotécnico" en vez de pirotécnico, porque así le parece que es más apropiado (y políticamente correcto). 

Al cohete lo llaman malo (por no funcionar cuando se le necesitó) y él se autoengaña hasta creer que lo que quisieron decir fue "famoso". Al paso que vamos, si algún día se llega a acabar este show, que nuestra civilización no vaya a pensar que la llevan a una casa de reposo (para reparar sus nervios destrozados) y no al basurero de la historia... y cuando finalmente estalle, que vaya a pensar que causó una gran sensación.

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Indeed, there is a cliff.

An American Manifesto: Liberals! Don't Push Yourselves Off the Cliff!: Conservatives and Republicans, whatever our faults, can point to two decisive domestic policies of the last 30 years that really made a difference. The first was supply-side economics. The second was "broken-window" policing. The first policy ushered in the Reagan Revolution and ignited a twenty year economic boom from 1980 to 2000. The second made New York City livable and cut the murder rates in the Big Apple by over 50 percent.

But liberals seem to have forgotten the lessons of the past. No doubt that is why Republicans are surging to political power everywhere in America except the two left coasts. Here is a lifeline to my liberal friends before they push themselves off the cliff.

Supply-side economics is why Bill Clinton ran as a "new" Democrat to split the difference between the Sixties Left and the Reagan Right. When he betrayed his promise and raised taxes and pushed HillaryCare he got himself a Republican Congress in the 1994 midterms. In 1996 he passed welfare reform in order to win reelection and prove he'd learned his lesson.

"Broken-window" policing was an idea advanced by James Q. Wilson and George L. Kelling in 1982. It was implemented in Boston and New York by Bill Bratton, famously while Rudy Guiliani was mayor of New York City in the 1990s. The idea was to pin-point high crime areas and harass young men that committed minor crimes of vandalism, thus sending a message to the street that disorder would not be tolerated. It was a counter-strategy to the "police brutality" politics of the Sixties and 1970s; police had responded by retreating from the streets and career trouble, and letting crime rage unabated.

If liberals were smart and if they truly believed in science they would have read, learned, and inwardly digested the theory and the evidence. But they didn't, and you can see that by reading the Wikipedia links above. They equivocate; they dance and jive. So if you are a genuine NPR/NYT liberal you don't pay no nevermind to the lessons of supply-side economics and broken-window policing.

But there is a penalty for ignoring reality; you get punched upside the head. The Clinton generation of Dem politicians knew that they had to pay their respects to supply-side economics and pretend they supported the cops even if they didn't believe a word of it. They had to pretend because the "stupid" voters believed it. But then a generation of liberals grew up that knew not Reagan. Call it the Vox generation, after young Ezra Klein's website. They went to college and got their economics straight from Keynes and their politics straight from the left, and so they never got taught that Keynes and cop-baiting was poison for Democrats, quite apart from the fact that they were poison for the economy and for society.

So let's rehearse for our lefty friends why they must take their supply-side and broken-windows medicine if they want to resume the aborted drive for a new Democratic majority. Look, I get that leftist politics is all about benefits and justice for the poor. But you don't get to do it unless you have the economy working and the streets safe.

So let's do the elevator story on economics that every liberal should know.

Supply-side economics The basic thing to grasp is that Keynesian economics is like a relief pitcher for government. It's a get-out-of-a-jam dodge. It says, in the middle of a financial crisis: oh gosh, we can't reduce government benefits while people are unemployed; we can't let our favored corporate friends go bankrupt. So we must keep spending and we must print money. Unfortunately that doesn't get the economy back on track. Supply-side economics says: yes, you must bail out the banks to prevent a credit collapse, but then it's back to hard money. Yes, you don't want the unemployed rioting in the streets, but the way to stimulate the economy is by cleaning out crony subsidies and regulations and taxes and lowering the marginal tax rates on work and investing.

Here's the elevator story on broken-windows policing that every liberal should know.

Broken-windows policing The basic problem of every city since the Industrial Revolution is that you get a strategic concentration of young lower-class males with few skills that tend towards the instincts of all young men down the ages: the dawn raid. Starting in the 1830s with the London Metropolitan Police the response of the middle class to the criminal gang activity of young lower-class urban males has been vigorous policing. The job of British "bobbies" and America "cops" has been to get in the faces of the young thugs and say, like Dirty Harry, Go ahead, make my day. When the cops do this the young thugs retreat and the city becomes safe. When they don't, as in New York City in the 1970s, the young thugs rampage around and make life hell for the poor.

Let us turn to Karl Marx and my copy of The 18th Brumaire of Louis Bonaparte. He begins:
Hegel says somewhere that all facts and personages of great importance in world history occur, as it were, twice. He forgot to add: the first time as tragedy, the second time as farce.
He means, I assume, that if we don't learn our lesson the first time around, we will be forced to learn it the second time, only this time in the corner wearing a dunce cap.

Supply-side economics was a response to the tragedy of economic "stagflation" in the 1970s. The Keynesians said that they had figured out the business cycle and how to avoid economic reverses. The 1970s proved them wrong, and supply-side economics proved that there was another way, and it worked.

Broken-windows policing was a response to the anti-police politics of the Marcuse Left in the 1960s and the crime wave that followed in the 1970s. It said that, whatever the "root cause" of poverty, there is no alternative to aggressive policing right in the faces of the young lower-class thugs. When implemented in Boston, in New York, in Los Angeles, broken-windows policing worked.

So come on liberals. Stop the madness while you still can. Go with the settled science and stop being deniers about supply-side economics and broken-windows policing.

Friday, September 19, 2014

#GamerGate and why they want you to quit being angry about it

Let’s face it gamers: Why bother? The music industry is dripping wet with payola grease, so your beloved #1 hits are as spurious as… well, you know, as the videogames review press. They (you know who they are) want you to accept corruption as something completely normal or else; else being labeled as a bigoted misogynist chauvinist pig. So, don’t even try, because you’re risking to be labeled as immature as… well, as adolescent videogamers.
 
Nobody (in the media) wants the truth. Witness cracked.com, always willing to blatantly assert that governments cannot default (!) and downplay Climategate, just in the name of comedy? “Hey, it’s just a comedy website, what is that supposed to do with the truth?” is their unofficial motto.
 
#GamerGate should be no exception, truth doesn’t matter when there are colleagues to protect and an agenda to further, even if it means they have to demean their readership.




 

Monday, August 18, 2014

PENSIONES PARA DUMMIES... BIEN DUMMIES

El sistema de pensiones explicado... sin números, ni fórmulas, ni normas. 

La seguridad social en la parte de pensiones parte de un principio muy sencillo... e insultante a nuestra dignidad humana: Tú no eres capaz de ahorrar para el futuro, y tu papá el Estado sabe mejor que tú en todo, por lo tanto, lo que eres incapaz de ahorrar, te lo vamos a descontar por la derecha cada vez que vayas a cobrar tu sueldo. 

Dicho esto, tenemos dos opciones: el régimen de prima media (estatal y solidario), que no es más que un Esquema Ponzi. Sí, éste funciona sí y solo si siguen entrando futuros beneficiarios en gran cantidad que sostengan a los pensionados actuales. Una vez se deja de cumplir este pequeño requisito, el sistema se vuelve inviable, como cualquier esquema Ponzi. Y esta es la opción más segura para cualquiera que aspire a pensionarse, lamentablemente. La segunda opción es la del régimen privado, que promete una rentabilidad que nunca llega... excepto para el fondo, que nunca pierde. Si baja el dólar, de malas. Si la bolsa cae, de malas. Si la economía nacional o global están de capa caída, de malas. 

Pero los fondos siempre se cobran su comisión y nunca van a perder por esto. 

De hecho, si la pérdida es lo suficientemente grande, te pueden quitar lo que ya ganaste. Siendo así, ¿cuándo y con cuanto te vas a jubilar? Siendo así las cosas, lo mejor que podría hacerse sería meter la plata en una humilde cuenta de ahorros, así te dejan de encandilar con espejitos y bisutería, y sabrás exactamente cuanto te va a quedar al final de tu vida laboral. Y dejaría la estructura de los fondos, privados o públicos, como lo que son: un tinglado armado que no hace mejor que lo que hace una simple cuenta de ahorros.

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